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Consider the Source

Did super PAC attacks make a difference in 2012 election?

A 2010 U.S. Supreme Court decision opened the door to unlimited spending on elections. Did all that money have an impact on who won?
Here are the 10 most popular general elections in the U.S. Senate and House among super PACs and nonprofits and the results of those elections.
(Results through 10 a.m. ET Thursday on races called by AP.)

NATIONAL

Rank Race Name Total outside spending** % Negative Candidate spending Winner
1 President Barack Obama (D)*
Mitt Romney (R)
$141.5 million
$408.5 million
68.9%
80.5%
$540.8 million
$336.4 million
Obama

SENATE

Rank Race Name Total outside spending** % Negative Candidate spending Winner
1 Virginia Tim Kaine (D)
George Allen (R)
$21 million
$29.8 million
88.6%
93.9%
$18.6 million
$11.5 million
Kaine
2 Wisconsin Tammy Baldwin (D)
Tommy Thompson (R)
$21.6 million
$18.2 million
87.6%
85.5%
$11.7 million
$6 million
Baldwin
3 Ohio Sherrod Brown (D)*
Josh Mandel (R)
$14 million
$20.7 million
84.3%
80.0%
$19.5 million
$12.9 million
Brown
4 Indiana Joe Donnelly (D)
Richard Mourdock (R)
$12 million
$16.3 million
95.9%
74.6%
$3.8 million
$6.8 million
Donnelly
5 Nevada Shelley Berkley (D)
Dean Heller (R)*
$14.6 million
$13.1 million
90.7%
94.0%
$10.2 million
$7.6 million
Heller
6 Montana Jon Tester (D)*
Denny Rehberg (R)
$12.8 million
$11.9 million
87.3%
97.0%
$11.6 million
$7.2 million
Tester
7 Arizona Richard Carmona (D)
Jeff Flake (R)
$8.6 million
$11.7 million
98.4%
68.6%
$4.3 million
$6.7 million
Flake
8 Florida Bill Nelson (D)*
Connie Mack (R)
$4.8 million
$15.2 million
76.2%
64.0%
$12.5 million
$6.3 million
Nelson
9 North Dakota Heidi Heitkamp (D)
Rick Berg (R)
$8.5 million
$7.6 million
88.1%
78.0%
$4.1 million
$4.7 million
Heitkamp
10 Missouri Claire McCaskill (D)*
Todd Akin (R)
$8.2 million
$2.8 million
81.2%
40.0%
$17.4 million
$4.6 million
McCaskill

* incumbent

HOUSE

Rank Race Name Total outside spending** % Negative Candidate spending Winner
1 PA-12 Mark Critz (D)*
Keith Rothfus (R)
$4.1 million
$6 million
76.4%
76.3%
$2.1 million
$1.5 million
Rothfus
2 OH-16 Betty Sue Sutton (D)
Jim Renacci (R)*
$5.2 million
$4.6 million
96.6%
97.0%
$1.6 million
$2.5 million
Renacci
3 MN-8 Rick Nolan (D)
Chip Cravaack (R)*
$5.1 million
$3.9 million
90.8%
95.2%
$536,000
$1.2 million
Nolan
4 IL-17 Cheri Bustos (D)
Bobby Schilling (R)*
$4.3 million
$4.6 million
94.3%
95.6%
$1.4 million
$1.9 million
Bustos
5 CA-7 Ami Bera (D)
Dan Lungren (R)*
$5.3 million
$2.9 million
90.0%
99.2%
$2.7 million
$1.7 million
Bera
6 CA-52 Scott Peters (D)
Brian Bilbray (R)*
$3.6 million
$4.6 million
97.0%
87.1%
$3.5 million
$2.1 million
Peters
7 CA-10 Jose Hernandez (D)
Jeff Denham (R)*
$3.6 million
$4.4 million
93.4%
97.5%
$1.4 million
$2.2 million
Denham
8 TX-23 Pete Gallego (D)
Francisco Canseco (R)*
$4.5 million
$2.8 million
94.2%
95.5%
$1.5 million
$1.9 million
Gallego
9 IL-12 Williams Enyart (D)
Jason Plummer (R)
$3.2 million
$4.2 million
88.5%
95.3%
$733,000
$903,000
Enyart
10 IL-11 Bill Foster (D)
Judy Biggert (R)*
$2.5 million
$4.7 million
99.5%
71.1%
$1.8 million
$1.7 million
Foster

* incumbent

** Total represents combination of outside spending supporting candidate and outside spending opposing candidate’s opponent.

Source: Center for Responsive Politics, Federal Election Commission, Center for Public Integrity analysis. Expenditure totals for 2012 election through Nov. 5. Candidate spending totals through Oct. 17.

Daily Disclosure

President Barack Obama and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie visit the Brigantine Beach Community Center to meet with local residents, in Brigantine, N.J., following Hurricane Sandy. Pablo Martinez Monsivais/AP

Daily Disclosure: Conservative outside ads spin Obama’s Sandy response

By Rachael Marcus

With President Barack Obama earning high marks on his response to Hurricane Sandy, conservative outside spending groups and Republicans are seeking to contrast it with charges that he dropped the ball in Benghazi.

Americans for Limited Government’s “Obama Campaign Has Its ‘Perfect Storm’” and Campaign for American Values PAC’s “Obama Has Left Americans Behind” follow the line of attack launched by Michael Brown, the director of FEMA under George W. Bush, who was widely criticized for botching the response to Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

While the new ads do not go quite as far as Brown, who charged the president with acting too quickly on the response to Sandy, they do capitalize on his juxtaposition of the president’s response to Sandy and his response to the terrorist attack on the American consulate in Libya.

Obama was “openly working with New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie during hurricane recovery,” the ALG ad begins. Christie, a Republican with presidential aspirations, heaped praise on the president for his response, which was seen as a hit to GOP nominee Mitt Romney.

“Obama didn’t react to terrorist attacks in Libya the same way he reacted to Sandy,” cursive text on the screen continues. “The Obama admin. [sic] tried to blame the attack on a movie released on YouTube. Maybe they can try to blame Hurricane Sandy on one of those Al Gore movies.”

A movie poster from “The Day After Tomorrow,” a high-budget, special-effects driven disaster film from 2004, is shown in the background.

Consider the Source

Former Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum speaks to reporters before the start of a bus tour campaign by Iowans for Freedom that is trying to convince Iowans to vote Iowa Supreme Court Justice David Wiggins off the bench. AP

Right-wing groups attempt to dislodge justices in Florida, Iowa

By Chris Young

Conservative outside spending groups have taken to the airwaves in an attempt to kick four Supreme Court justices off the bench in Iowa and Florida for taking positions the groups find objectionable.

In Iowa, one organization, joined by former GOP presidential candidate Rick Santorum, hopes to oust a justice who supports same-sex marriage. In Florida, justices face the wrath of a pro-business group and a physician who object to President Barack Obama’s health care reform law.

Supporters of the justices have paid for ads and mailers and are defending the judges’ records while accusing their opponents of politicizing the court system.

The campaigns include television ads and dueling bus tours.

Eighteen states, including Iowa and Florida, require their appointed Supreme Court justices to periodically face voters in what are known as “merit retention elections.” Voters are asked whether a judge should remain on the bench. If a majority says no, the governor appoints new justices from a list of names submitted by a nonpartisan nominating commission.

Historically, retention elections generate little political spending and limited voter interest. From 2000 to 2009, retention elections accounted for about 1 percent of campaign spending on all state Supreme Court elections, according to Justice at Stake, a Washington, D.C.-based group critical of judicial elections.

In 2010, conservatives waged a successful campaign to oust three Iowa Supreme Court justices who voted the previous year to legalize gay marriage. Spending on retention elections that year jumped to roughly 13 percent of the total spent on all state Supreme Court elections.

The lone remaining justice in Iowa who voted with his ex-colleagues in supporting same-sex marriage has been targeted, as have three Florida justices.

Consider the Source

American Tradition Partnership attorney James Brown speaks to Helena, Mont., protesters angry with his client's anonymous political spending. ATP has successfully challenged several state campaign restrictions in court. The protesters are advocating a ballot initiative that declares corporations are not entitled to constitutional rights.  Matt Gouras/AP

'Right-to-work' group gave Montana nonprofit $300,000

By Paul Abowd

A secretive nonprofit group that wants to nullify Montana’s campaign finance laws received a $300,000 donation from an anti-union organization aligned with a Colorado furniture executive, an Internal Revenue Service document shows.

American Tradition Partnership, a pro-energy group known for successfully suing Montana to force it to abide by the U.S. Supreme Court’s Citizens United ruling, has also sued the state to protect the identity of its donors — who have funded the ATP’s attack mailers in state races.

An IRS document obtained by the Center for Public Integrity indicates one of its early donors was a nonprofit 501(c)(4) called Coloradans for Economic Growth, which spent millions of dollars from undisclosed sources to support a failed 2008 ballot initiative that would have made Colorado a “right-to-work” state.

Among the initiative’s supporters was Jacob Jabs, president and CEO of American Furniture Warehouse. A 2008 letter to the IRS signed by former ATP employee Athena Dalton said Jabs was the “primary donor” and had promised to give $300,000 to ATP, but only if the IRS expedited its approval of ATP’s application for tax-exempt status.

Jabs has denied knowing anything about the group or giving it any money.

The appeal apparently worked. Three days later, the IRS approved the application.

ATP’s 2008 donors list shows a $300,000 contribution from Coloradans for Economic Growth, but makes no mention of any donation from Jabs.

Dalton did not return numerous calls. According to a report by ProPublica, a nonprofit news organization, Jabs said he contacted Dalton earlier this October and she told him that ATP officials had instructed her to use Jabs’ name in the letter.

Daily Disclosure

New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg AP

Daily Disclosure: Bloomberg’s super PAC backs candidates in both parties

By Rachael Marcus

A super PAC founded by New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg reported spending $4.9 million on both Republicans and Democrats in Florida, Illinois and California, according to Federal Election Commission records filed Wednesday.

Independence USA PAC was formed Oct. 18, and voters won't know who its donors are until after the election. The group has spent $6 million so far this election.

The super PAC spent $2.5 million supporting the U.S. House run of California state Sen. Gloria Negrete McLeod, a Democrat; $1.8 million supporting the House run of former Orlando Chief of Police Val Demings, a Democrat; and $909,000 supporting Rep. Bob Dold, R-Ill., among other candidates.

The billionaire media mogul, now an independent, was a lifelong Democrat who switched to the GOP when he first ran for mayor.

He has pledged his super PAC will spend between $10 million and $15 million supporting state, local and congressional candidates who value bipartisanship and Bloomberg’s agenda, which includes supporting same-sex marriage, an overhaul of public schools, and his signature cause, gun control.

While Independence USA hasn't reported its donors, records show that a politically active nonprofit, Mayors Against Illegal Guns, is primarily supported by the mayor.

While Bloomberg has become increasingly involved in national politics this election, he had repeatedly declined to discuss the presidential election. He has expressed disappointment with both candidates. Today, he endorsed President Barack Obama.

Daily Disclosure

This Halloween-themed ad from the Congressional Leadership Fund opposes Rep. Kathy Hochul, D-N.Y. YouTube/Screenshot

Daily Disclosure: Super PACs aim to spook voters with Halloween ads

By Rachael Marcus

Outside spenders are getting in the holiday spirit with Halloween-themed ads designed to scare voters away from the targeted candidates.

A foggy cemetery, a haunted house and shadowy figures loom in House Majority PAC’s ad, as the narrator speaks in a quivering voice pretending to be a ghost, explaining why voters should be afraid of Rep. Francisco “Quico” Canseco, the Republican candidate running in Texas’ 23rd District.

The narrator suddenly cuts the ghost voice and says, “This isn’t a Halloween story, though it is scary. It’s Quico Canseco’s — a person and a story that fits right into Washington.”

One of the ads main claims — that Canseco owes hundreds of thousands in liens over unpaid payroll taxes and contracting fees — was reported by the San Antonio Express-News in July 2010.

Canseco disputes the claim. He said the bulk of what is owed is a result of disagreements between contractors and tenants on properties he owns and that he was only named because he is the landlord.

Canseco faces Democratic challenger Pete Gallego, a Texas state representative. House Majority PAC’s Halloween ad is part of a $415,000 buy in Texas’ 23rd District, a Republican-leaning swing district.

The race has seen $6.6 million in outside spending, according to the Center for Responsive Politics.

Conservative spenders are also using the holiday to their advantage.

Consider the Source

AP

Super PACs, nonprofits favored Romney over Obama

By Michael Beckel and Russ Choma

Super PACs and nonprofits unleashed by the Citizens United Supreme Court decision have spent more than $840 million on the 2012 election, with the overwhelming majority favoring Republicans, particularly GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney.

An estimated $577 million, or roughly 69 percent, was spent by conservative groups, compared with $237 million spent by liberal groups, or about 28 percent, with the remainder expended by other organizations.

Of all outside spending in the 2012 election, more than $450 million was dedicated to the presidential election with more than $350 million spent helping Romney and about $100 million spent to help President Barack Obama.

The spending helped close the gap on Obama’s considerable fundraising advantage over Romney. As Election Day approaches, Romney and Obama are neck-and-neck in national polls.

The totals are from a joint analysis of Federal Election Commission data by the Center for Responsive Politics and the Center for Public Integrity. The Centers' analysis covers the period from Jan. 1, 2011 through Oct. 28, 2012, and does not include independent spending by the political party committees.

The final tally will be higher as spending continues to accelerate before Election Day.

Consider the Source

House candidates draw one-campaign super PACs

By Russ Choma

Candidate-specific super PACs, once exclusively associated with presidential hopefuls, have moved down-ticket and are now supporting candidates in congressional races this election.

Super PACs devoted solely to supporting a congressional candidate spent $28 million in the 2012 election with about $22 million going toward helping conservative candidates, according to a Center for Responsive Politics analysis of campaign data.

Federal Election Commission rules prohibit "coordination" between a candidate and an outside spending group, but many super PACs have gotten around those rules by hiring operatives who previously worked for the campaign.

The groups became prominent during the Republican presidential primary when each candidate had a supporting chorus in the form of a super PAC. The largest by far was Restore Our Future, which backs GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney.

Restore Our Future raised nearly $133 million this election cycle, or one of every five dollars raised by super PACs.

By far the biggest player in the congressional candidate-specific super PAC world is the Texas Conservatives Fund, which spent $5.5 million on independent expenditures, all of it during the Texas GOP primary battle for U.S. Senate.

The money was spent in opposition to Ted Cruz, the tea party candidate, in hopes of electing Lt. Gov. David Dewhurst, who was considered the favorite of the Republican establishment. Cruz won the primary and is expected to easily win the general election.

Consider the Source

Nonprofits, shell corporations help shield identity of ad backers

By Russ Choma

In the 2012 election, nonprofits have been the preferred vehicle for donors who prefer to keep their identities secret. But with the right lawyers, super PACs, which are supposedly transparent about their donors, can accomplish the same feat.

Social welfare nonprofits, known as 501(c)(4)s by the Internal Revenue Service, file tax returns with the IRS. The names of their top donors are revealed to the IRS — but not to the public.

Super PACs, on the other hand, do report their donors. In some instances, though, those donors are nonprofits. Or the funds might come from shell corporations, which have passed through millions of dollars to the political organizations from unidentified donors in this election.

Aetna’s oops

Occasionally, the veil is lifted on the secrecy of these groups, sometimes inadvertently.

Insurance giant Aetna accidentally disclosed to insurance regulators earlier this year that in 2011, it had contributed $3 million to the American Action Network, a 501(c)(4) group that has spent $11 million targeting mostly Democratic candidates for Congress.

The company later scrubbed the disclosure from its filing and declined to elaborate on it despite demands from institutional shareholders for an explanation.

Consider the Source

Rep. Bobby Schilling, R-Ill. AP

Outside groups outspend candidates in 26 House races

By Viveca Novak

Editor's note: This story was also published by the Center for Responsive Politics, where Viveca Novak is the editorial and communications director.

Illinois' 17th Congressional District looks like it was drawn by an X-acto knife on crack, pitted with divots large and small and tendrils leading nowhere.

This misshapen plot of land, dubbed the "rabbit on a skateboard," is the result of a redistricting process that made it slightly more Democratic territory.

That means first-term Rep. Bobby Schilling, a Republican, doesn't exactly have a smooth glide-path to re-election. In fact, he’s in a fight — an expensive one. Through Oct. 17, Schilling and his Democratic opponent, Cheri Bustos together have spent $3.3 million on the race ($1.9 by Schilling, $1.4 million by Bustos).

But that's not the half of it. Another $6 million has been spent by outside groups, a cool $2.7 million more than the candidates themselves have laid out.

That makes the contest one of 26 House elections in which outside spending adds up to more than spending by the candidates, according to Center for Responsive Politics data.

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Writers and editors

John Dunbar

Managing Editor, Politics The Center for Public Integrity

John is director of Consider the Source, the Center's ongoing investigation of the impact of money on state and federal politic... More about John Dunbar

Michael Beckel

Reporter The Center for Public Integrity

Michael Beckel joined the Center for Public Integrity as a politics reporter in February 2012, where his focus is super PACs and the infl... More about Michael Beckel

Reity O'Brien

James R. Soles Fellow The Center for Public Integrity

Reity O’Brien is the Center’s 16th James R. Soles Fellow.... More about Reity O'Brien

Chris Young

American University Fellow The Center for Public Integrity

Chris Young is an American University Fellow currently working as a member of the Center’s Consider the Source team.... More about Chris Young

Dave Levinthal

Senior reporter The Center for Public Integrity

Dave Levinthal joined the Center for Public Integrity in 2013 to help lead its Consider the Source project investigating the influence of... More about Dave Levinthal

Ben Wieder

CAR Reporter The Center for Public Integrity

Ben Wieder is the Computer Assisted Reporter for the Consider the Sourc... More about Ben Wieder

Alison Fitzgerald

Senior reporter The Center for Public Integrity

Alison Fitzgerald is a finance and investigative reporter who joined the Center in April 2013 to help lead its financial reporting projec... More about Alison Fitzgerald

Alan Suderman

Reporter The Center for Public Integrity

Alan Suderman is a reporter for the Consider the Source project, where he focuses on the influence of money in state politics.... More about Alan Suderman

Dan Wagner

Reporter The Center for Public Integrity

Daniel Wagner came to the Center in 2013 from The Associated Press in Washington, D.C.... More about Dan Wagner