Job losses, county by county, in a trade war

Peterson Institute economists project a trade war with Mexico and China lasting more than one year would cause heavy private sector job losses in certain counties nationwide. Those heavily linked into global trade would suffer as demand drops for certain U.S. exports, including soy beans and corn, aircraft, machinery and auto parts. If a thinly populated county has a high dependence on one industry, such as mining, textiles or recreation, it would experience disproportionate job losses. Prices for imported products sold in retail stories would increase, decreasing demand, and also contribute to job losses.